August 18th 2011
Letter: Latest arctic monitoring report conclusions are stark
The Arctic Monitoring & Assessment Program (AMAP) have Just released their latest summary of Climate Disruption in the Arctic cryosphere. It's titled, "Snow, Water, Ice, and Permafrost in the Arctic 2011. (SWIPA 2011 Report)"
A website with links to full report and video summaries is here: http://amap.no/swipa/
The conclusions of this report are stark.
*Simultaneous evidence of rapid climate change accelerated by warming feedback loops in all major systems studied (permafrost, sea ice, glacial ice, vegetation, ocean, atmosphere).
*Melt rates of the Ice Cap and Greenland in excess of IPCC 2007 predictions.
*Temperature change by year 2100 now estimated 5-7 degrees Celsius.
*Sea Level rise now estimated 90cm - 1.2m by 2100.
*Warmest conditions in the Arctic for last 2,000 years. On current trends, likely to be warmest conditions since deglaciation 10,000 years ago within a few decades.
*High probability of rapid, non-linear climate changes in future, especially if permafrost methane continues to be released at current rate.
Dr Andy Lewis
Reef Eco-Tours & Tevene'i Marine
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Photo courtesy: © Konrad Steffen/CIRES, University of Colorado